Michigan St
W-L: ( 3- 6) PR = 67.7148Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H We Michigan MIDA ( 5- 4, 67.3) 23- 6 906 H Boston Col ` ACC ( 2- 7, 64.6) 42-40 913 H Youngst. St 41-24 920 A USC B10 ( 6- 2, 84.3) 31-45 1004 A Nebraska B10 ( 6- 3, 73.8) 27-38 1011 H UCLA B10 ( 3- 5, 72.7) 13-38 1018 A Indiana B10 ( 9- 0, 93.7) 13-38 1025 H Michigan B10 ( 7- 2, 79.2) 20-31 1101 A Minnesota B10 ( 6- 3, 70.0) 20-23 1115 H Penn St B10 ( 3- 5, 75.6) 1122 A Iowa B10 ( 6- 2, 83.7) 1129 H Maryland B10 ( 4- 4, 74.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 H We Michigan 23- 6 17 4 +++ 12.64
906 H Boston Col ` 42-40 2 7 -- -5.06
920 A USC 31-45 -14 -21 +++ 6.00
1004 A Nebraska 27-38 -11 -10 -0.95
1011 H UCLA 13-38 -25 -1 --- -18.99
1018 A Indiana 13-38 -25 -30 0.00
1025 H Michigan 20-31 -11 -8 - -3.41
1101 A Minnesota 20-23 -3 -6 + 3.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H UCLA 13-38 -25 -1 --- -18.99 906 H Boston Col ` 42-40 2 7 -- -5.06 1025 H Michigan 20-31 -11 -8 - -3.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 H We Michigan 23- 6 17 4 +++ 12.64 920 A USC 31-45 -14 -21 +++ 6.00 1101 A Minnesota 20-23 -3 -6 + 3.25 |
Michigan St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| California | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UAB | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Utah | Utah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Maryland | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Purdue | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Purdue | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rutgers | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Intl | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kennesaw St | |
| Liberty | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | ||
| Middle Tenn | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| NM St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| SHouston St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UTEP | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| We Kentucky | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UMass | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Ball St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Bowl. Green | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Buffalo | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Cen Michigan | |
| Ea Michigan | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Kent State | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| MiamiOH | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| No Illinois | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| We Michigan | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Air Force | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Utah St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Arkansas State | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Georgia St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | So Miss | So Miss | ||
| So Alabama | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Texas State | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | Michigan St | Michigan St |
PowerWise = 44
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H We Michigan ( 5- 4, 67.3) 23- 6 -32.61 21.38 -3.93 1.06 36.91
0 H Boston Col ` ( 2- 7, 64.6) 42-40 -35.32 18.67 -3.93 1.06 31.19
0 A USC ( 6- 2, 84.3) 31-45 -15.60 38.39 3.93 1.06 -6.17
0 A Nebraska ( 6- 3, 73.8) 27-38 -26.07 27.92 3.93 1.06 -11.71
0 H UCLA ( 3- 5, 72.7) 13-38 -27.24 26.75 -3.93 1.06 -16.49
0 A Indiana ( 9- 0, 93.7) 13-38 -6.23 47.76 3.93 1.06 -1.21
0 H Michigan ( 7- 2, 79.2) 20-31 -20.66 33.33 -3.93 1.06 -13.01
0 A Minnesota ( 6- 3, 70.0) 20-23 -29.86 24.12 3.93 1.06 -13.72
------
5.79
|
winning pts = 68.1034 losing points = -62.3085
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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